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Relations between Afghanistan and Central Asian states after 2014: Incentives, Constraints and Prospects
Nargis Kassenova
ISBN 978–91–85114–84–9

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All Central Asian states are concerned about the potential spillover of insecurity from Afghanistan. The impending withdrawal of international forces is seen as potentially leading to destabilization, with negative consequences for the region. This report explores the commonalities and differences in the policies of Central Asian states toward Afghanistan. The author argues that the Soviet-era isolation of Central Asian states from their traditional neighbours has been broken, and that opportunities for business, educational and people-to-people links will only increase.

This paper is published under the Wider Central Asia Initiative, a two-year SIPRI project to promote and facilitate dialogue among the main external stakeholders in Afghanistan's future. The initiative is funded by the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs.


1. Introduction
2. Afghanistan and the Central Asian states since 1992
3. Central Asian perspectives on the future security of Afghanistan
4. Cooperation among Central Asian states
5. Initiatives on Afghanistan proposed by Central Asian states
6. Conclusions

Related publications

Decoding Pakistan's 'Strategic Shift' in Afghanistan, by Moeed Yusuf (May 2013)

Europe, Afghanistan and the Transatlantic Relationship after 2014, by Erik Brattberg (May 2013)

Iran's Policy on Afghanistan: The Evolution of Strategic Pragmatism, by Bruce Koepke (Sep. 2013)

About the author

Dr Nargis Kassenova (Kazakhstan) is an Associate Professor in the Department of International Relations and Regional Studies at KIMEP University in Almaty, Kazakhstan, and Director of KIMEP’s Central Asian Studies Center. Her main research areas are Central Asian security, Eurasian geopolitics, energy security, and Kazakhstan’s foreign policy.

Publisher: SIPRI
ISBN 978–91–85114–84–9
29 pp.
May 2014
Price: €7.50 per copy plus €5 shipping and handling per order


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